Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.363392 0.470770 0.587411 0.721796 0.870788 1.029553 1.210224
2025-10-05 0.236048 0.383061 0.559210 0.777478 1.033756 1.319466 1.656950
2025-10-12 0.169212 0.331596 0.541323 0.814187 1.145943 1.525368 1.982554
2025-10-19 0.131701 0.307298 0.549142 0.875890 1.283322 1.757597 2.336712
2025-10-26 0.100054 0.281661 0.548320 0.921189 1.396379 1.957719 2.650578
2025-11-02 0.067061 0.243362 0.523502 0.930587 1.461539 2.098290 2.892777
2025-11-09 0.031825 0.184337 0.459004 0.880057 1.446033 2.137733 3.012241
2025-11-16 0.009763 0.132141 0.394178 0.821374 1.414309 2.153006 3.099173
2025-11-23 0.001910 0.102782 0.360309 0.802182 1.430811 2.225174 3.252242
2025-11-30 0.000076 0.087971 0.349437 0.815099 1.488905 2.348463 3.466688
2025-12-07 NaN 0.069721 0.327454 0.808537 1.518898 2.435131 3.635526
2025-12-14 NaN 0.049937 0.296032 0.783794 1.521645 2.485564 3.758615
2025-12-21 NaN 0.046844 0.304403 0.826279 1.622438 2.667081 4.050492
2025-12-28 NaN 0.046397 0.319671 0.880988 1.741705 2.874009 4.375932
2026-01-04 NaN 0.043272 0.326858 0.921572 1.840469 3.053988 4.667466
2026-01-11 NaN 0.045257 0.348446 0.986949 1.975005 3.280859 5.017919
2026-01-18 NaN 0.043931 0.360164 1.035259 2.085037 3.475856 5.328702
2026-01-25 NaN 0.035963 0.350193 1.045219 2.139383 3.597890 5.548138
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020121 0.306024 0.991475 2.099168 3.594507 5.609230
2026-02-08 NaN 0.008251 0.260079 0.928935 2.042665 3.567280 5.638383
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003639 0.237990 0.908454 2.047093 3.619731 5.767097
2026-02-22 NaN 0.002145 0.233591 0.922240 2.103272 3.741546 5.984100
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000571 0.219572 0.915238 2.126909 3.819049 6.144236